Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 3167.133063 3400.673233 3634.725429 3886.564969 4149.558823 4415.783948 4705.332934
2025-08-03 2762.512342 3116.059964 3481.379189 3885.837455 4319.874268 4770.506062 5272.563533
2025-08-10 2503.454522 2931.930263 3384.951906 3897.077993 4457.430219 5049.545441 5720.138366
2025-08-17 2282.314268 2762.515330 3280.431367 3876.374343 4539.058455 5249.463684 6064.707890
2025-08-24 2128.916863 2652.930981 3228.013207 3899.857111 4657.195605 5478.847645 6432.013404
2025-08-31 1967.036246 2521.535591 3140.344974 3873.738958 4711.039555 5629.511500 6705.540272
2025-09-07 1875.298241 2463.796160 3130.087621 3929.448036 4851.833489 5872.915334 7078.854540
2025-09-14 1767.384354 2380.164356 3083.997802 3938.589555 4934.966950 6047.683438 7372.003480
2025-09-21 1662.917211 2294.680139 3030.578662 3934.489081 4998.805527 6197.272327 7633.954036
2025-09-28 1530.601617 2168.776031 2923.482925 3861.956918 4978.476341 6246.603401 7778.128988
2025-10-05 1520.461143 2192.287765 2994.688998 4000.417589 5204.901130 6580.429887 8249.456896
2025-10-12 1476.209676 2170.357898 3008.577606 4068.408803 5346.891673 6815.598403 8606.696420
2025-10-19 1407.514229 2115.931017 2982.107569 4088.061214 5432.944823 6988.062981 8895.065608
2025-10-26 1332.380239 2050.162267 2939.216352 4085.839051 5491.609744 7127.881977 9145.560590
2025-11-02 1268.998135 1996.742160 2909.304773 4097.422400 5565.197184 7284.091304 9414.488875
2025-11-09 1195.156363 1926.129921 2854.828032 4076.026905 5596.680474 7388.766538 9621.553989
2025-11-16 1145.948835 1886.413084 2838.062345 4100.293469 5682.815193 7557.902153 9904.545372
2025-11-23 1078.327473 1818.582733 2782.447652 4073.303436 5704.035234 7647.775422 10092.266912
2025-11-30 1049.303363 1802.880150 2793.905853 4130.869748 5829.480051 7863.121554 10429.967069
2025-12-07 1002.937040 1760.784553 2768.909148 4140.315151 5893.930474 8003.923280 10677.980137
2025-12-14 953.943100 1712.861129 2734.450145 4136.078399 5940.096013 8121.697301 10897.821050
2025-12-21 881.539557 1627.943647 2647.545825 4061.127417 5895.017422 8126.246279 10979.455101
2025-12-28 891.528063 1664.433659 2726.229703 4204.192066 6127.386094 8472.637695 11477.181583